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The Bizarro Rule of 72

April 17, 2015 by Matt McCracken
For quite some time, I have argued that the stock market is relatively expensive by historical standards and will therefore experience below average returns for the next decade. Recently, I developed a new and very simplistic means of calculating...Read more

USD gets curb-stomped after the FED

March 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
The USD is declining precipitously against marjor trading partners after the FED said something or didn't say something. Maybe they added a word or took out a word and somehow with a flick of a butterfly's wings, the USD is acting like the US is a...Read more

Habakkuk 2:6

March 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
Each morning, I recieve the Daily Texts from the Moravian Church . I thought one of the versus' quoted today was apropos in light of Janet Yellen's testimony this week: "Woe to him who piles up stolen goods and makes himself wealthy by extortion!...Read more

In yellen we trust...

February 23, 2015 by Matt McCracken
The headline story on Bloomberg yesterday was titled, "In yellen we trust is Bond Mantra as Inflation Dismissed.” This story line is obviously a play on the American patriotic motto “In God we Trust”. So in the minds of investors, has the FED...Read more

Charlie Sheen & Wall Street: How different are they?

January 14, 2015 by Matt McCracken
In 1987, Charlie Sheen stared in Wall Street , a rivoting tale about bankers gone bad. Fast forward 24 years and I ask myself just how different is the present day Charlie Sheen (CS) and the present day Wall Street (WS):Read more

Moscow-led trade bloc and the Uranium market

January 2, 2015 by Matt McCracken
Armenia joined the Russian-led trade bloc that previously included Belarus and Kazakhstan. While these countries may seem insignficant in most sectors of the worldwide economy, Kazakhstan is actually very signfigant in one small but important market...Read more

Charles Schwab's Outlook on Bonds

December 23, 2014 by Matt McCracken
I am just listening to some music on Youtube and between every song, there now seems to be a commerical. I have now listened to a couple different messages from the folks at Charles Schwab. And the second one I was like, WOW!!! Are you kidding me?...Read more

Is the a commodity backed Ruble coming?

December 22, 2014 by Matt McCracken
The crashing Russian Ruble has been the big story line from the past couple of weeks. From here, there are only two options for the currency. Continue to crash on its way to zero or breakout out of the parabolic downtrend and rebound. While the...Read more
USO performance dispersion

The Epic Failure of Commodity Funds

July 24, 2014 by Matt McCracken
The strong performance of commodities since the end of the tech bubble has attracted quite a lot of interest and assets under management to the space. Prior to 1999, there were virtually no public funds trading commodity futures on US exchanges (...Read more