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Article Commentary: Everyone Is Fleeing Oil's Biggest Fund

May 29, 2015 by Matt McCracken
This morning, Yahoo!Finance reports that Bloomberg reported that almost $1B has been withdrawn from USO, the biggest U.S. exchange-traded fund that tracks the price of oil, over the past couple of months . The article makes two points that are both...Read more

Bill Gross' "Trade of a Lifetime"

May 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
Bill Gross has made a call to short the German Bund and in doing so has called up memories of the greatest trade of all-time - Soros' Breaking the Bank of England. I largely agree with Gross' fundamental outlook on the Bund. But what really...Read more

12th Anniversary of the Iraq War

May 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
It was 12 years ago last week the US sent troops to fight in Iraq. What do we know now about the war that we didn’t know then? It will ultimately cost many multiples of the $50B that was originally estimated. Currently, the tab is $1T and that is...Read more

Larry Blankfein "goldman is doing God's work"

May 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
It was three years ago this month, that Larry Blankfein made the claim that “goldman was doing God’s work”. Which is an interesting thing for someone to say who was raised Jewish and presumably has some knowledge of the Torah. Because the Torah is...Read more

Review of Ron Paul's Interview by Porter Stansberry's The Crux

May 13, 2015 by Matt McCracken
I reluctantly watched Ron Paul’s interview on Porter Stansberry’s site. For years I’ve mistakenly hit on links to Stansberry’s site with some irresistible teaser just to be terribly disappointed when it became clear that whatever information was...Read more

The Bizarro Rule of 72

April 17, 2015 by Matt McCracken
For quite some time, I have argued that the stock market is relatively expensive by historical standards and will therefore experience below average returns for the next decade. Recently, I developed a new and very simplistic means of calculating...Read more

USD gets curb-stomped after the FED

March 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
The USD is declining precipitously against marjor trading partners after the FED said something or didn't say something. Maybe they added a word or took out a word and somehow with a flick of a butterfly's wings, the USD is acting like the US is a...Read more

Habakkuk 2:6

March 19, 2015 by Matt McCracken
Each morning, I recieve the Daily Texts from the Moravian Church . I thought one of the versus' quoted today was apropos in light of Janet Yellen's testimony this week: "Woe to him who piles up stolen goods and makes himself wealthy by extortion!...Read more

In yellen we trust...

February 23, 2015 by Matt McCracken
The headline story on Bloomberg yesterday was titled, "In yellen we trust is Bond Mantra as Inflation Dismissed.” This story line is obviously a play on the American patriotic motto “In God we Trust”. So in the minds of investors, has the FED...Read more